BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1B Class Rank: 50 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (2-6) Overall: (3-8) Overall Strength = 121.76
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2022 Away L 111.10 3 40 1A 76 ( 3- 9) Arizona St -10.65 -26.35
2 09/10/2022 Away W 132.23 10 3 1B 46 ( 5- 4) Sam Houston St 10.48 -3.48
3 09/17/2022 Home L 128.94 24 27 1B 23 ( 7- 5) North Dakota 7.18 -10.18
4 09/24/2022 Home L * 120.27 10 27 1B 8 ( 7- 5) Idaho -1.49 -15.51
5 10/01/2022 Away L * 110.69 27 35 1B 71 ( 4- 7) Portland St -11.06 3.06
6 10/08/2022 Home W * 108.45 31 29 1B 94 ( 2- 9) Cal Poly SLO -13.30 15.30
7 10/15/2022 Away L * 116.65 27 56 1B 9 ( 6- 5) UC-Davis -5.11 -23.89
8 10/22/2022 Away W * 125.57 24 10 1B 92 ( 1- 10) Idaho St 3.82 10.18
9 11/05/2022 Home L * 136.20 38 41 1B 6 ( 11- 1) Montana St 14.45 -17.45
10 11/12/2022 Away L * 109.90 20 21 1B 90 ( 3- 8) Northern Colorado -11.85 10.85
11 11/19/2022 Home L * 139.31 31 33 1B 5 ( 10- 3) Weber St 17.55 -19.55
Averages 121.76 22.3 29.3
Best game: 139.31 = 2 point loss to Weber St
Worst game: 108.45 = 2 point win over Cal Poly SLO
Team stdev: 11.29